By Justice Derefaka (Technical Adviser on Gas Business and Policy Implementatio to the Honorable Minister of State for Petroleum Resources)
Oil prices fell more than 3% on Friday and posted their biggest weekly decline since June as fears of a slow economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic compounded worries about weak oil demand.
Prices were pressured by extended declines in the U.S. equities market and by a report showing U.S. job growth slowed further in August as financial assistance from the government ran out.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 1.37 million jobs last month, though employment remained 11.5 million below its pre-pandemic level and the jobless rate was 4.9 percentage points higher than in February.
The unemployment rate fell to 8.4% last month, compared with a forecast 9.8%, which some market analysts said would lessen urgency in Washington, D.C. to pass additional economic stimulus legislation.
“The hopes for more stimulus are going out the window,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital in New York. “We need to see economic activity back up to get demand flowing.”
A U.S. government report this week showed domestic gasoline demand has fallen again, while middle distillate inventories at Asia’s Singapore oil hub have surpassed a nine-year high, official data showed.EIA/S (Full Story).
“The bigger market picture is overall bearish sentiment that kicked off with lower gasoline demand reports on Wednesday,” said Paola Rodriguez-Masiu, analyst at Rystad Energy.
Global oil demand could fall by 9-10 million barrels per day (bpd) this year due to the pandemic, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said.
A record supply cut since May by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, has supported prices.
OPEC began in August to ease the scale of the cuts, raising output by almost 1 million bpd, according to a Reuters survey.
In the United States, the oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future production, rose two to 256 in the week to Sept. 4, energy services firm Baker Hughes Co BKR.N said on Friday. It was the second time in the past three weeks that energy firms added rigs.
Money managers raised their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions by 541 contracts to 334,983 during the period in the week to Sept. 1, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.
*W. Africa Crude*-
Trading has perked up somewhat for Angolan crude though at lacklustre prices as state oil company Sonangol lowered offers.
* Sonangol was still offering about five cargoes for October export, a day after lowering prices up to 30 cents for some.
* A little under a third of Angola’s October programme, or around 15 cargoes, remain for sale – a relatively average rate.
* Nigerian cargoes continued to struggle to find buyers, with at least 35 cargoes still unsold.
* European gasoline margins improved as crude futures were headed for their first weekly loss on Friday, but a U.S. government report this week showed domestic gasoline demand has fallen again.
The Prices are as follows:
(1)Dated Brent =$41.21 /bbl (-0.36)
(2)Bonny Light =$41.255 /bbl (-0.48)
(3)QuaIboe =$40.905 /bbl (-0.48)
(4)Forcados =$41.355 /bbl (-0.48)
Premium unleaded pms= $391.75 /mt (0)
0.1% Gasoil= $332/mt (2)
Clean Tanker freight UKC-WAF= $21.68/mt (-1.67)
Stay Safe and have a wonderful week.